Phillies PROD: 6/3/12

June 3, 2012

Miami (31-23) beats the Phillies (28-27) 5-1

Recap of Today’s Game:
Marlins: 40 opportunities, 20 bases. PROD = .500
Phillies: 35 opportunities, 7 bases. PROD = .200

Individual Stats (Phillies):
Rollins: 0/4 .000
Pierre: 4/4 1.000
Pence: 0/4 .000
Luna: 1/4 .250
Victorino: 1/4 .250
Polanco: 2/4 .500
Galvis: 0/4 .000
Schneider: 1/4 .250
Blanton: 0/2 .000
Qualls: 0/0 n/a
Diekman: 0/0 n/a
Fontenot 0/1 .000
Schwimer: 0/0 n/a

Pitcher PROD allowed:
Blanton: 17/28 .607
Qualls: 1/3 .333
Diekman: 2/6 .333
Schwimer: 0/3 .000

Chicago
Miami
Philadelphia
OKC
San Antonio
Atlanta
Portland
Dallas
Clippers
Denver
Houston
Indiana
Lakers
Orlando
Boston
Memphis
Minnesota
Utah
Knicks
Milwaukee
Golden State
Phoenix
Cleveland
New Jersey
Toronto
Sacramento
New Orleans
Detroit
Washington
Charlotte

Rising:
San Antonio/Dallas/Clippers +3

Falling:
Indiana -5, Denver -4, Lakers -3

1. Chicago
2. Miami
3. Philadelphia
4. OKC
5. Atlanta
6. Denver
7. Indiana
8. San Antonio
9. Portland
10. Lakers
11. Dallas
12. Clippers
13. Houston
14. Boston
15. Memphis
16. Orlando
17. Utah / Minnesota
19. Milwaukee
20. Golden State
21. New York
22. Cleveland
23. Phoenix
24. New Jersey
25. Toronto / New Orleans
27. Sacramento
28. Detroit
29. Washington
30. Charlotte

Risers/Fallers
Rising: Houston/Lakers/Clippers/Boston +3
Falling: Orlando -5, Memphis/Utah -3

1. Chicago
2. Miami
3. Philadelphia
4. Denver
5. OKC
6. Atlanta
7. Portland
8. San Antonio
9. Indiana
10. Dallas
11. Orlando
12. Memphis
13. Lakers
14. Utah
15. Clippers
16. Houston
17. Boston
18. Minnesota
19. Milwaukee
20. New York
21. Golden State
22. Cleveland
23. Phoenix
24. New Jersey
25. New Orleans
26. Toronto
27. Sacramento
28. Detroit
29. Washington
30.Charlotte

Risers/Fallers
Rising: Boston +5, Denver/Dallas +3
Falling: Orlando/Phoenix -5, Utah -4

1. Chicago
2. Philadelphia
3. Miami
4. OKC
5. Atlanta
6. Orlando
7. Denver
8. Portland
9. Indiana
10. Utah/San Antonio
12. Lakers
13. Dallas
14. Memphis
15. Minnesota
16. Clippers
17. Houston
18. Phoenix
19. Cleveland
20. New York/Milwaukee
22. Boston
23. Golden State
24. New Jersey
25. New Orleans
26. Sacramento
27. Toronto
28. Charlotte
29. Detroit
30. Washington

Biggest Risers: Utah +6, Memphis +4
Biggest Fallers: Lakers, Knicks, Cleveland -5

Through games on Jan 13th

1. Philadelphia
2. Chicago
3. Atlanta (this will likely change)
4. Miami
5. Denver
6. OKC
7. Los Angeles Lakers
8. Orlando
9. San Antonio
10. Indiana
11. Portland
12. Los Angeles Clippers
13. Dallas
14. Cleveland
15. New York Knicks
16. Utah
17. Minnesota
18. Memphis
19. Houston
20. Phoenix
21. Boston
22. Milwaukee
23. Golden State
24. New Orleans
25. Toronto
26-t. New Jersey/Sacramento
28. Washington
29. Detroit
30. Charlotte

On the Rise
Dallas and the Knicks both rose 7 spots.

Falling

Toronto fell 8 places; Boston and Phoenix fell 6 each

NBA Rodgers Ratings

January 2, 2012

Whenever you begin to discuss what team will do the best in the future, you’re going beyond your data. My ratings are simply a look at what teams have done so far, taking into account their opponents, their performance in the games, and their actual win-loss records. As such, especially in the beginning of the season it will look rather different from other “Power” Rankings. Through games on 12/31.

1. Portland
2. Orlando
3. Oklahoma City
4. Atlanta
5. San Antonio
6. Philadelphia
7. Miami
8. Chicago
9. Los Angeles Lakers
10. Denver
11. Milwaukee
12. Houston
13. Memphis
14. New Orleans
15. Indiana
16. Los Angeles Clippers
17. New York
18. Golden State
19. Cleveland
20-t. Phoenix/Charlotte
22. Boston
23-t. Dallas/Toronto
25. Minnesota
26. Sacramento
27 Utah
28. Detroit
29. New Jersey
30. Washington

Interesting facts…

Team
The Phillies (51-30) are on pace for their most wins in a season and their best winning percentage in club history.
With at least 31 wins in the second half, the Phillies would finish their ninth consecutive season with a winning record. Their longest such stretch is ten years, from 1975 to 1984.
The Phillies have posted 92, 93, and 97 wins over the past three seasons, respectively. They are on pace to reach 90 wins again. That would give them their longest such stretch.1976-1978 is the only other back-to-back-to-back 90 win seasons the Phils have posted.

Manager
Charlie Manuel has coached 1053 games, fourth most in club history. After this season, he will be within 200 games of the top of the list.
Manuel has 595 wins as manager, which is third best. If the Phillies win 51 in the second half, Manuel will be tied for first with 646 wins.
Manuel’s .565 win percent is the best of any Phillies manager to coach at least 300 games and the best of any to coach more than one game since 1900 (Andy Cohen went 1-0 in 1960).

Batting
Shane Victorino is on pace for 100 runs. He has never accomplished this feat.
Victornio is also on pace for 16 triples, which would make him and Rollins (20 in 2007) the only two Phils to hit at least 16 since 1965.
Ryan Howard is on pace to lead the Phillies with 32 home runs. That would be Howard’s sixth consecutive 30-HR season. But it would be the second time in a row he fails to hit 35.
No one else is on pace to hit 20 home runs, which would be the first time under Manuel the Phillies do not have at least two players hit 20.
Howard is on pace for 124 RBI, which would be his fifth career 120-RBI season.

Pitching
Halladay (20-6), Hamels (18-8), and Lee (18-10) are all on pace to win at least 18 games.
They are all on pace to throw at least 220 innings and strike out at least 215 batters.
Their ERAs range from 2.40 to 2.66.
Their WHIP range from 0.96 to 1.07.
Their BAA range from .212 to .241.

PROD measures the number of bases a player earns divided by the number of opportunities he has had to earn them. .50 is a good number. It means that the player EARNS (so errors are out) 1/2 base every time to the plate.

Qualified Leaders:
Victorino .56
Howard .53
Rollins .48
Francisco .47
Ibanez .46

Not Qualified:
Brown .48
Mayberry .47
Utley .47
Sardinha .45

Dead Weight: Valdez .35

Top Hitting Pitchers:
Hamels .35, Lee .29, Worley .25

LA Lakers: Bang for Buck

December 13, 2010

There are numerous available metrics for measuring the worth of a sports athlete. Bang for Buck (BFB) is a simple metric derived from two objective measures. Bang is the total of points, assists, and rebounds the player has posted. Buck is the player’s salary in millions. The idea behind the stat is that a team is paying for a player’s output so one way to measure the payoff on the investment is to look at some measure of output divided by money spent. I opt for total points, assists, and boards instead of per game totals because a player who is elite when he plays but who misses a good deal of time may not be as good an investment as a reliably above average player.

Through 25 games, the Lakers’ best investments are as follows:

Matt Barnes 208.5

Derrick Caracter 178.7

Shannon Brown 155.9

Devin Ebanks 108.5

Lamar Odom 84.3

Derek Fisher 81.4

Steve Blake 55.8

Ron Artest 48.1

Pau Gasol 47.5

Kobe Bryant 35.5

Theo Ratliff 13.3

Luke Walton 6.3

Sasha Vujacic 5.3

Andrew Bynum 0.0

A quick look at the offseason moves by LA reveals a good deal of shrewdness on GM Mitch Kupchak’s part. Nabbing Matt Barnes for a pittance (1.77m) looks pretty brilliant right now. Resigning Shannon Brown and Derek Fisher look like good moves, too. Meanwhile, the rookies (Caracter and Ebanks) are already paying off reasonably well.

On the other hand, oft-injured Luke Walton and perennial pineman Sasha Vujacic look like horrible investments.

Limitations: BFB is a season-long metric, which will take into account playoff performance as well. Obviously, some players do not make the playoffs so their opportunities are limited to 82 games provided they are healthy. At the other extreme, Kobe Bryant played in 23 playoff games last season, posting more than 900 combined points, assists, and rebounds. Those games count at least equally to regular season games. I’ll be working on some thoughts for the playoffs.

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