Phillies Stats: Starting Pitching Numbers

PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES PITCHING STATS

STARTER RATING*
Halladay 100
Oswalt 89
Hamels 88
(Happ 82)
(Moyer 78)
Figueroa 78
Kendrick 74
Blanton 67

STARTER GPA*
Halladay 3.12
Oswalt 3.00
Hamels 2.79
(Happ 2.67)
(Moyer 2.26)
Kendrick 2.17
Figuero 2.00
Blanton 1.63

STARTER RATING is like PASSER RATING in the NFL. Roughly, a score of 100 is equal to the performance of Cy Young pitchers from last season. Anything over 90 is excellent. Scores above 80 are solid. Scores in the 70s are not helping the team consistently. Scores below that are hurting the team.

STARTER GPA is a measure of consistency and excellence. Anything above a 3.0 is excellent. It means that the pitcher typically turns in ratings (see above) of 90+.

Philadelphia Phillies: Stat Update

Phillies Season Productivity Numbers*

Qualified Season Leaders

1. Jayson Werth .61
2. Ryan Howard .57
3. Chase Utley .55
4. Shane Victorino .53
5. Raul Ibanez .50
6. Carlos Ruiz .49
7. Jimmy Rollins .48
8. Wilson Valdes .40

Last 20 Games
1. Jayson Werth .70
1. Ben Francisco .70
3. Ross Gload .67
4. Shane Victorino .60
5. Raul Ibanez .57
5. Carlos Ruiz .57

Position Battle
Domonic Brown will soon be demoted to AAA, but he has had a respectable debut in the bigs. With 16 bases in 41 opportunities, Brown posted a .39 PROD. That is not a great number, but it is not horrendous either. Brown’s main area of concern is his eye at the plate. In 40 at bats, Brown struck out thirteen times while walking just once. The other outfielder who saw key at bats in the past twenty game stretch is Ben Francisco, who posted an incredible .70 PROD thanks to 7 walks, 10 hits (including 4 doubles and 2 home runs), and two stolen bases in 33 at bats. Francisco has established himself once again as a respectable starter at the major league level. For the present, he should be first off the bench even if Domonic Brown is likely to take his roster spot next season.

*PRODUCTIVITY is, roughly, a measure of the number of  bases the player EARNS per trip to the plate. A PROD of .50 seems to be quite good.

Phillies 14th Circuit Stats

Phillies: Fourteenth Circuit Pitching Stats

The Phillies’ starter went 2-1, the team managed to take three of five in the fourteenth pitching circuit of the season (games 66-70). This moves Philly to six games over .500, and three games back in the NL East. Hamels stayed hot in starting off the circuit with a B+ (89) performance, but the Phils floundered and lost a five-run lead and eventually the game. Halladay followed with an 83-point effort, but the Phils fell to some dominant pitching. Jamie Moyer tossed a 120-point gem, allowing six base runners and only one run. That triggered a three-game winning streak. Pitching was a mixed bag in games four and five of the circuit, with a terrible (but predictable) performance from Kendrick (48), and a season best 99-point performance from Joe Blanton.

The starters combined to throw 34.2 innings, making it two straight circuits in which starters recorded 100 outs or more. Halladay yielded a team high 11 hits, but the other hurlers were sharp. They yielded a total of 30 hits and walked just five (vs 29 strikeouts). This resulted in a WHIP of 1.01 and an ERA of 3.63.

Cumulative Starter Stats: 70 starts, 1327 outs recorded, 306 Ks vs. 112 BB, 443 Hits, 199 ER, 4.05 ERA, and a 1.25 WHIP.

Circuit Ace: Joe Blanton tossed his first A+ game of the season, but Jamie Moyer’s 120-point gem shines brightest. It’s Moyer’s second-highest rated game of the season, and his second straight A+ after an abysmal -2 performance in the 12th circuit.

Phillies: Day Off Recap

Travis Rodgers

The Phillies have a day off, so here are updated stats.

Explanation of Stats

Productivity: this is a measure of how many bases the player EARNS per appearance at the plate. Getting on base is important, but getting bases any way you can is, too. So people who get xbh and steal bases are rewarded. From preliminary analysis (I’ve been messing with this stat for about 4 years now), a 0.5 seems to be pretty good. It means that a player who comes to bat 4 times will earn two bases in the game.

Pitching Rating: This is a stat for starting pitchers that is modeled on the Passer Rating stat in the NFL. A rating of 100 is equal to Cy Young consideration. It looks like an 80+ is getting the job done.

Productivity among qualified players (134 at bats):

1. Werth .61
2. Utley .56
3. Victorino .55
4. Howard .54
5. Ibanez .49
6. Polanco / Ruiz .471

Recent Activity

The bats are again hot in Philadelphia. Among starters, Ryan Howard led the way with a .96 PROD over the pat five games. Chase Utley (.70), Jayson Werth (.63), and Raul Ibanez (.63) all performed well. In fact, both Victorino and Carlos Ruiz posted .55 PRODs, and all-but-starter Wilson Valdez posted a .50, meaning that all starters except Placido Polanco (.33) were at or above the .50 mark. On the bench, Ross Gload was the star with a 1.33 PROD.

Position Battle

Jimmy Rollins’s absence has certainly hurt the Phillies. His .75 PROD in the games he has played is remarkable. Nor does this stat does not take into account his remarkable contributions on the defensive side. Still, Wilson Valdez has played well on both sides of the ball, rolling along with a .40 PROD.  In 17 opportunities, he managed 12 bases, to pull his PROD to a season high (.40). Not remarkable, but still solid. By comparison, Rollins boasts a career .53 PROD and elevated that number to .61 in his MVP campaign.

Starting Pitching Rating

1. Halladay 97
2. Happ 87
3. Hamels 84
4. Figueroa 78
5. Moyer 77
6. Kendrick 74
7. Blanton 58

Phillies: 13th Circuit Pitching Stats

Phillies: Thirteenth Circuit Pitching Stats

The Phillies’ starter notched four wins in games 61-65, tying their highest total for a five-game circuit on the season. Their lone loss came with ace Roy Halladay on the mound. In running up a 4-1 record, the Phillies pushed themselves back to five games over .500. The circuit featured three A+ games (Cole Hamels, Kyle Kendrick, and Jamie Moyer), a D+ (Joe Blanton), and an F from Halladay. Sandwiched between Hamels’s 106 score an Moyer’s 111 was Halladay’s 52 rating, the second worst performance from him on the season. Then Kendrick picked up the team with with a not terribly surprising strong performance. The enigmatic Kendrick’s past six game grades have been A, A, F, A, F, and A. There has been no middle ground with this guy of late.

The starters combined to throw 34 innings, marking the third circuit in which the starters have reached the 100 innings mark in a cicuit. They yielded 27 hits, but walked 11. This resulted in a 1.12 WHIP and a 3.44 ERA (Halladay was responsible for 6 of the 13 ER this circuit). Interestingly, they did it with less control (11 walks were the third most in a circuit this season), and an unimpressive (for them) 2:1 k/bb ratio.

Cumulative Starter Stats: 65 starts, 1223 outs recorded, 277 Ks vs. 107 BB, 413 Hits, 185 ER, 4.08 ERA, and a 1.28 WHIP.

Circuit Ace: Hamels started the circuit off right, but Moyer and Kendrick shut down the Yankees. Kendrick’s 111-point performance was his second best of the season, earned the Phillies the win, and took the series from the Yankees.

Phillies: Twelfth Circuit Pitching Stats

Phillies: Twelfth Circuit Pitching Stats

It was one win, four losses, and a deeper slide down the standings for the Phils in their twelfth circuit (games 56-60). For once, the blame rests strongly on the shoulders of the starters. Hamels and Hallday were electric, both posting scores above 110. Kendrick (55), Moyer (-2!), and Blanton (-8!) were horrendous. When Moyer tossed a -2 game, things looked bleak, as if they could get no worse. Then Blanton showed us all something special: 4 outs recorded, 9 runs plated, and a -8 rating.

The starters combined to throw just 26.2 innings, the worst circuit number to date. They again walked only six hitters, but Moyer and Blanton allowed 22 hits combined and pushed the staff total to 37. That amounts to a 1.84 WHIP: the worst circuit total. Finally, the staff posted a 10.0 ERA, their worst circuit by more than three runs per nine innings. A truly dreadful circuit.

Cumulative Starter Stats: 60 starts, 1121 outs recorded, 255 Ks vs. 96 BB, 386 Hits, 172 ER, 4.14 ERA, and a 1.29 WHIP.

Circuit Ace: Hamels and Halladay both went 8 innings, allowed 3 runs total, allowed 12 base runners total, struck out 14 hitters total, both posted ratings of 110+ (Hamels 111, Halladay 112). Hamels took the loss. Halladay took a no decision in a game the Phillies lost. Talk about wasted effort. This was the second time two starters have posted 110+ ratings in the same circuit.

Phillies: Eleventh Circuit Pitching Stats (Old News)

Phillies: Eleventh Circuit Pitching Stats

The Phillies managed to go 3-2 during the eleventh circuit. This they did behind two A outings, one B, and two Fs. Cole Hamels started things off with a frustrating (and very brief) outing against the Braves. Not lasting an inning because of a rain delay, Hamels posted a 54 rating in a game the Phillies lost. Then the Phils put together three straight strong starts. Kendrick tossed an A game (100) that the Phillies lost 2-1. Hallday was solid in picking up a win (85), while Moyer was excellent (100), tossed a complete game, and won. Joe Blanton’s struggles continued  with a 43-point effort in a loss.

The starters combined to go 28.2 innings, but this number is skewed by Hamels’s rain-shortened start. They continued to make batters earn their way on base, issuing just six free passes, but they were knocked around to the tune of 35 hits. Other than Halladay, the starters fanned just 9 batters. They posted a circuit WHIP of 1.43 and ERA of 4.08.

Circuit Ace: Kendrick and Moyer both threw A+ games (100 rating each). Moyer’s was a complete game win. Kendrick’s was a 7-inning performance and eventual loss.

Phillies: Another Day Off Recap

Travis Rodgers

The Phillies have a day off, so here are updated stats.

Explanation of Stats

Productivity: this is a measure of how many bases the player EARNS per appearance at the plate. Getting on base is important, but getting bases any way you can is, too. So people who get xbh and steal bases are rewarded. From preliminary analysis (I’ve been messing with this stat for about 4 years now), a 0.5 seems to be pretty good. It means that a player who comes to bat 4 times will earn two bases in the game.

Pitching Rating: This is a stat for starting pitchers that is modeled on the Passer Rating stat in the NFL. A rating of 100 is equal to Cy Young consideration. It looks like an 80+ is getting the job done.

Productivity Among qualified players (114 at bats):
1. Werth .61
2. Victorino/Utley .55
3. Howard .50
4. Polanco .49
5. Ruiz/Ibanez .47

Recent Activity
It has been only four days since the last day off for the Phillies so the sample size is limited. Still, it was more of the same from the Phillies, as the team posted a .38 PROD in those four games. Among starters, only Werth (.60), Ibanez (.53), and Polanco (.50) were solid. Schneider (1.00), Gload (.60), and Francisco (.50) all did well off the pine. Carlos Ruiz somehow managed a .00 PROD in 10 opportunities, and Valdez posted juts a .13 in 8 chances.

Position Battle

Roy Halladay is certainly the best pitcher on the team, but Cole Hamels’s .25 PROD is more than twice Halladay’s .12.  Hamels has one more base in 17 fewer opportunities. While this is not a great number, it actually ties Hamels’s career best mark (established in 2008). This is an interesting fact given that he batted fifty points higher in 2008.

Starting Pitching Rating
1. Halladay 100
2. Happ 87
3. Hamels 84
4. Figueroa 78
5. Moyer 74
6. Kendrick 72
7. Blanton 57

Phillies: Offday Stats Recap

Travis Rodgers

The Phillies have a day off, so here are updated stats.

Explanation of Stats

Productivity: this is a measure of how many bases the player EARNS per appearance at the plate. Getting on base is important, but getting bases any way you can is, too. So people who get xbh and steal bases are rewarded. From preliminary analysis (I’ve been messing with this stat for about 4 years now), a 0.5 seems to be pretty good. It means that a player who comes to bat 4 times will earn two bases in the game.

Pitching Rating: This is a stat for starting pitchers that is modeled on the Passer Rating stat in the NFL. A rating of 100 is equal to Cy Young consideration. It looks like an 80+ is getting the job done.

Productivity Among qualified players (114 at bats):
1. Werth .61
2. Victorino .57
3. Utley .56
4. Howard .51
5. Polanco / Ruiz .49
6. Ibanez .47

Recent Activity
In the two weeks since the last time I posted these stats, the Phillies have been abysmal as a team, posting a .39 PROD. Among the best were Victorino, with a team high .61, Polanco (.53), and Howard (.48). But from the bench, Schneider provided a nice lift (.54 in 13 appearances) and Ben Francisco (.54 in 24 appearances) finally showed some life. On the other end of the spectrum, Ross Gload managed one base in 13 appearances, for a .08 PROD.

Position Battle
While Juan Castro continues to see more playing time in the field than Wilson Valdez, it is far from clear that Castro has been more effective in the role. On the season, Valdez (.37) has the edge over Castro (.31), and over the past two weeks, the difference is significantly in Castro’s favor (.38 vs. .23).

Starting Pitching Rating
1. Halladay 99
2. Happ 87
3. Hamels 82
4. Moyer 81
5. Figueroa 78
6. Kendrick 72
7. Blanton 66

Phillies Tenth Circuit Pitching Stats

Phillies: Tenth Circuit Pitching Stats

Such a frustrating five games for the Phillies. Mired in a four-game losing streak entering the tenth circuit, the Phillies were tough luck losers after Cole Hamels yielded 3 runs (2 earned) in 6.2 innings. Kyle Kendrick followed with a 91-point effort in a win. Then Halladay tossed one of the most dominant games in Phillies history, a 151-point perfect game. Ageless Jamie Moyer took a tough loss in an A effort (92%). Finally, Joe Blanton was lit up (again), posting a 57% rating in a loss. The Phillies should have won at least three games this circuit, and four should not have been unimaginable given their pieces on offense. Instead, they managed just two wins.

The starters combined to toss 33.1 innings, the third circuit in which all starters completed six innings. Their control was impeccable, weighing 19 strikeouts against 4 walks and 26 hits. This accounts for their 0.90 WHIP. While the starters allowed 12 runs, only 7 of them were earned. As a result, they posted a 1.89 ERA.

Cumulative Starter Stats: 50 starts, 965 outs recorded, 216 Ks vs. 84 BB, 314 Hits, 133 ER, 3.72 ERA, and a 1.24 WHIP.

Circuit Ace: Could it be anyone other than Roy Halladay? He pushed his overall rating back up to 99% (where 100% is Cy Young level from last season), set a season high for strikeouts by a Philadelphia pitcher, and, oh yeah, tossed a perfect game.